tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post6165690266021088594..comments2023-10-29T17:24:02.681+08:00Comments on YOU'LL NEVER WALK ALONE: A股板塊表現回顧及本周組合展望You'll Never Walk Alonehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comBlogger26125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-14128028554952778622011-07-27T14:09:39.832+08:002011-07-27T14:09:39.832+08:00Thanks You Sir, will take a close look at it.Thanks You Sir, will take a close look at it.tontongoodhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17790155657651451035noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-16622687645376696762011-07-27T13:51:00.391+08:002011-07-27T13:51:00.391+08:00To tontongood: This is for your reference. This re...To tontongood: This is for your reference. This report is from Yuanta Securities.<br /><br /><br />Comtec Solar (712 HK)<br />Earnings outlook ridden with challenges<br /><br />Downgrading Comtec to HOLD We downgrade Comtec based on: 1) the delayed ramp-up of its new 400MW capacity in Haian due to power shortages, leading to a revised shipments estimate of only 410MW for 2011, vs. previous guidance of 700MW; and 2) our 7.4 ppt downward revision to our GM forecast for 2011 on faster than expect wafer ASP decline in 2Q11. Accordingly, we significantly reduce our EPS forecast by 62% for 2011 and by 52% for 2012, and cut our TP to HK$3.50.<br /><br />Consensus EPS has significant downside risk: We see significant downside risk to the Bloomberg consensus EPS of RMB0.35 for 2011F and RMB0.51 for 2012, as consensus has yet to factor in the delayed ramping-up of Comtec’s Haian capacity, as well as the sharp ASP decline in 2Q11, in our view. Our new EPS estimates are 49% and 31% lower than consensus for 2011 and 2012, respectively.<br /><br />Potential threat from mono casting: We are positive on the development of a new process for ingot casting - quasi-mono ingot casting - which we anticipate is close to commercialization. This new production process can be retrofitted to current multi-crystalline furnaces, and poses a threat to current pure mono producers as it allows high-efficiency, near mono-crystalline ingots to be produced at a similar cost to multi-crystalline ingots. As a result, we believe Comtec needs to accelerate its shift from P-type mono wafers to their N-type counterparts in order to maintain its margin. Current guidance suggests that out of the 410MW of total shipments expected for 2011, only 50-100MW will be N-type mono wafers.You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-15272794857275087272011-07-27T11:52:44.059+08:002011-07-27T11:52:44.059+08:00Thanks,咁一於等佢抄爆先算Thanks,咁一於等佢抄爆先算投資達人https://www.blogger.com/profile/12513377659040798634noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-5216723373192016572011-07-27T11:46:08.353+08:002011-07-27T11:46:08.353+08:001728破位暫時就唔理咁多了,除非走勢上有明顯的見頂訊號。1114的走勢可作11728的參考,因17...1728破位暫時就唔理咁多了,除非走勢上有明顯的見頂訊號。1114的走勢可作11728的參考,因1728主要是代理寶馬、Audi等汽車You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-49996436445380064432011-07-27T10:58:48.740+08:002011-07-27T10:58:48.740+08:00You 蛇,隻 1728 你目標價係幾多,今日升到我有 D 驚 :DYou 蛇,隻 1728 你目標價係幾多,今日升到我有 D 驚 :D投資達人https://www.blogger.com/profile/12513377659040798634noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-16354482709284212142011-07-26T23:15:33.782+08:002011-07-26T23:15:33.782+08:00勝哥:今天升市是由中移動及內銀等帶動,其他板塊升幅尚未是十分全面
CHAN:受收緊銀根及基建投資見...勝哥:今天升市是由中移動及內銀等帶動,其他板塊升幅尚未是十分全面<br /><br />CHAN:受收緊銀根及基建投資見頂影響,市場不看好貨車業前景,是故1899亦落後大市You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-703392117450813642011-07-26T22:10:57.993+08:002011-07-26T22:10:57.993+08:00You兄, 點睇1899? 死得好無辜You兄, 點睇1899? 死得好無辜CHANnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-61616061054043747102011-07-26T18:50:23.115+08:002011-07-26T18:50:23.115+08:00千萬不要說提點,交流交流罷了!今天國內股市雖然上升,但成交及走勢都未夠convincing,港股則鞭...千萬不要說提點,交流交流罷了!今天國內股市雖然上升,但成交及走勢都未夠convincing,港股則鞭鞭有力,怪哉!島勝猛https://www.blogger.com/profile/03479414619032472035noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-83554756958319708842011-07-26T18:02:00.734+08:002011-07-26T18:02:00.734+08:00tontongood: 712 has a good growth story, but its T...tontongood: 712 has a good growth story, but its TA is not so convincing. I think Tencent is a good bet. If you like IT stocks, you can keep an eye on Kingdee (268) too.You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-88457441125062615932011-07-26T17:59:28.249+08:002011-07-26T17:59:28.249+08:00Only action These two days are acquired some 700 a...Only action These two days are acquired some 700 and 712 this morning.tontongoodhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17790155657651451035noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-86283015256719305392011-07-26T15:38:37.114+08:002011-07-26T15:38:37.114+08:00cancel off the LP position with little loss incurr...cancel off the LP position with little loss incurredYou'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-23327991261977375222011-07-26T08:31:27.620+08:002011-07-26T08:31:27.620+08:00多謝勝哥提點,我是因擔心A股的熊走勢而對沖,那國指較恆指是更好的工具。我只是稍為擔心國指期權的差價會...多謝勝哥提點,我是因擔心A股的熊走勢而對沖,那國指較恆指是更好的工具。我只是稍為擔心國指期權的差價會高了點。You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-75308200981623780962011-07-26T00:39:23.571+08:002011-07-26T00:39:23.571+08:00You Sir,會不會考慮買國指put做對沖instead of恆指?You Sir,會不會考慮買國指put做對沖instead of恆指?島勝猛https://www.blogger.com/profile/03479414619032472035noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-6683151553679258602011-07-25T23:24:39.722+08:002011-07-25T23:24:39.722+08:00此外,今天組合跌約0.2%,表現算是不俗此外,今天組合跌約0.2%,表現算是不俗You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-88335009168939672582011-07-25T23:22:47.691+08:002011-07-25T23:22:47.691+08:00今天不出博文,簡單回顧今天操作:
今天牛刀小試,買入恆指7月22000 Put。今早見國內A跌急跌...今天不出博文,簡單回顧今天操作:<br /><br />今天牛刀小試,買入恆指7月22000 Put。今早見國內A跌急跌,自6月中的反彈趨勢全遭破壞。惟手頭上持股的表現okay,不想胡亂沽出持股,便嘗試買入put作對沖。大盤下跌可抵消部份損失,大盤上升的話期權金損失相對組合規模是一個低水平,等同買一個保險。這操作的風險是恆指在結算時被挾高<br /><br />國內股市的走勢突然又轉得很兇險,且板塊跌幅全面,反映市場對硬著陸憂慮增加;這勢必拖累港股表現You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-19803372204644843342011-07-25T22:51:15.426+08:002011-07-25T22:51:15.426+08:00Kelvin:主要是短線相對走勢的考慮。然而,從往績、品牌地位等看,百麗絕對是貴得有道理;往國內百貨...Kelvin:主要是短線相對走勢的考慮。然而,從往績、品牌地位等看,百麗絕對是貴得有道理;往國內百貨公司看,百麗品牌的女裝鞋的價錢是明顯高一截。我並非不喜歡738,當股價稍為回調時,我會有興趣再買入的You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-18409310032240110372011-07-25T20:34:07.703+08:002011-07-25T20:34:07.703+08:00YOU SIR
1880好貴,向上望不多,為何不738? 我無貨,希望係唔好的市況,可以在20MA價...YOU SIR<br />1880好貴,向上望不多,為何不738? 我無貨,希望係唔好的市況,可以在20MA價買入.Kelvinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10714807990935231317noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-52826637461397096002011-07-25T19:16:11.136+08:002011-07-25T19:16:11.136+08:00花花:多謝來訪!花花:多謝來訪!You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-43756511871306000732011-07-25T19:15:31.505+08:002011-07-25T19:15:31.505+08:00達人兄:在這樣的市況中,食品股等consumer staple反成資金避免難所。國企股有關的風險會較...達人兄:在這樣的市況中,食品股等consumer staple反成資金避免難所。國企股有關的風險會較少,尤其是百年字號青島啤You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-9166279454771503902011-07-25T17:22:30.489+08:002011-07-25T17:22:30.489+08:00我仲吼緊 168 同 506 tim,但味千今日被洗倉,令我又有些擔心,大陸食品好似信唔過咁.......我仲吼緊 168 同 506 tim,但味千今日被洗倉,令我又有些擔心,大陸食品好似信唔過咁....投資達人https://www.blogger.com/profile/12513377659040798634noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-79901413460911397002011-07-25T15:40:05.534+08:002011-07-25T15:40:05.534+08:00You Sir ,謝謝你詳細分析^^You Sir ,謝謝你詳細分析^^花 花https://www.blogger.com/profile/07069682918957392010noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-88021525455637724302011-07-25T12:10:21.413+08:002011-07-25T12:10:21.413+08:00勝哥:歡迎到訪!不過IT今天的股價表現不是太好,目前仍是luxury consumer good顯著...勝哥:歡迎到訪!不過IT今天的股價表現不是太好,目前仍是luxury consumer good顯著跑出<br /><br />Cup sir: You made a good observation and I will try to spare time to investigate further on it.You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-901195461287544732011-07-25T12:05:20.919+08:002011-07-25T12:05:20.919+08:00Long HSI Jul Put 22,000
I concur with 達人兄 and tur...Long HSI Jul Put 22,000<br /><br />I concur with 達人兄 and turn cautious again because the A share index has just unexpectedly broken down the supportive level.You'll Never Walk Alonehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08272358683483397165noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-58003399351420791042011-07-25T11:58:24.599+08:002011-07-25T11:58:24.599+08:00國內股市今日急速下跌,形勢仍然非常熊,小心小心
不過同意 YOU Sir 所講,仍然有不少板塊跑出...國內股市今日急速下跌,形勢仍然非常熊,小心小心<br /><br />不過同意 YOU Sir 所講,仍然有不少板塊跑出,只要避開跑輪板塊,盡量選動力股,市場仍然有一少亮點投資達人https://www.blogger.com/profile/12513377659040798634noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7177962749989925788.post-6784076162229232112011-07-25T01:18:25.125+08:002011-07-25T01:18:25.125+08:00可留意沒有賭棉花價格(囤棉花)的紡織股.可留意沒有賭棉花價格(囤棉花)的紡織股.CUPhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10132648712120744761noreply@blogger.com