2021年3月1日星期一

美國增長股估值更新@1 March





27 則留言:

  1. Sell MELI because of weak 4Q results
    But RIO, a mining stock in order to catch the inflation and commodity theme

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    1. GBTC hit stop limit at mid night and cut position, cash position now 20%

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  2. Buy JPM, in order to gain more exposure in old economy to balance portfolio during sector rotation

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    1. Tech stocks continue to weaken
      Sell SE SKLZ
      Reduce FVRR TWLO

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  3. 錢去哂銀行,資原,油...=.=

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    1. Yes, and I bought JPM and RIO in order to balance my portfolio, but still are insufficient to cover my loss in tech stocks lately

      Nevertheless, I believe at these price levels, it’s more worth to buy tech stocks in weakness as they seems have overreacted to rising bond yield

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  4. Add back some GBTC because bitcoin stays resilient

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    1. BTC行得唔錯...但GBTC最近大Discount...

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  5. Tech stocks find some foothold, buy back SQ and TWLO

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  6. 昨晚午夜時見納指轉升為跌,市況不太對路,便沽出了PINS以維持現金水平。睡前本欲再沽出持股以迴避,但見納轉跌幅收窄而作罷。

    那知昨晚入睡後才是戲肉,納指跌幅一路擴大至2.4$以全日低位收市。雖則現金水平逾30%,但自2月底以來投資組合真的很傷, 且對重新買入仍審慎,但仍有被套入追反彈的陷阱

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    1. 但目前nasdaq 期貨升, 可以睇等D,
      其實都只是星期5果個range震盪。如果今晚再高開低收就不妙了。

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    2. 納指目前的預期PE約31倍,即使美債息升至2厘,目前這個估值也不算很貴。納指自歷史高位跌了10%,其實相對美債息這一波的回升,其實並不算過份。只是所持有的高增長股份估值高,才更vulnerable美債的上升

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  7. 昨晚無做任何交易,惟ytd總算回復正數,其中原因是觀察到美國債息回落得不夠多。美國債息未能回落至1.5%以下的話始終會限制高增長股的估值,所以不欲大冒進以免又被套。

    自上周五納指轉跌為升的一天計,昨晚是day 3,今晚或以後納指若能出現大成交的顯著上升,便是一個follow through day的正面確認訊號,到時不妨再進取一點

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    1. Short some ARKK at midnight to hedge against my positions as the rally failed to uphold

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  9. Many trades tonight:
    Unwind short position on ARKK
    Add PLTR
    Buy back SE UPST
    Sell TWLO
    Add JPM
    Buy back CCL

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    1. Rationale:
      Reduce concentration on tech stocks in view of rising bond yield and recovery of real economy
      Concentrate on the strongest performing tech stocks, increased exposure in old economy, reserving some cash

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  10. Take profit CCL
    Reduce CRWD GBTC
    Buy back TWLO
    Add SQ TSLA MELI

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    1. Can add back some tech stocks coz the bond yield is pulling back

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  11. Add TWLO
    Buy NVDA, because I want more large cap exposure in my portfolio as they are leading the NASDAQ now

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    1. 昨晚漏報了再沽出CRWD,原因是市況上升乏力,以及公司季績前股價乏力上升

      那知CRWD今早公佈的業績仍對版,目前pre market 股價反應正面。其實向來對CRWD是較具信心,只是整體市況疲弱,不欲槓桿狀態容易做錯決定

      美債息率仍牽動市況,較早前略為回落後現又再上升,手上持股pre market繼續下滑,看來目前投資仍不能太進取

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    2. 我昨晚見nasdaq升1%,但增長股反而跌, 尾市更大跌, 有點托指數沽的味道, 所以也減持孖展, 目前看來的確不宜進取, 但市場始終會適應債息上升的影響, 也不會太悲觀。打法應該似2018年10月大跌前的大型上落市。

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